Sale Value

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles – 7:05 p.m ET

The Red Sox are playing the putrid Orioles, have Chris Sale on the mound, are in must-win mode after being swept by the Yankees, and are the favorite team of this writer. You already know which way we’re looking here, but maybe not how.

At -160*, there’s absolutely no value in the full-game run line; but when you reduce the run line down to -1 for the first five innings, the juice starts to look a lot more reasonable.

And there’s no reason to fear: Sale has been on a rampage since returning from injury in mid-August, recording an excellent 4.88 BB/K. The Sox lineup should have no problem dealing with Bruce Zimmermann, who is returning from injury and gave up three runs in each of his two starts against Boston in April.

Pick: Red Sox 1st 5 Innings -1 (-135)*

DFS Value Play: Hunter Renfroe ($4,200)