Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves – 7:20 p.m. ET

Perhaps the highest-stakes game on the board, the Phillies need to get a win against the Braves tonight in order to have any chance of snagging the NL East crown and its subsequent playoff spot. Maybe Philly gets it done in the later innings, but the early part of the game doesn’t profile well for them.

Max Fried continues to dominate on the bump for Atlanta, spinning back-to-back shutout outings with just six hits allowed over his last 16 innings. Aaron Nola, meanwhile, continues to have the worst season of his career, showing an ugly 6.58 ERA and 1.7 HR/9 over his last five starts.

Overall, the Braves rank sixth in runs per first five innings and the Phillies rank 23rd, and the home/road splits support Atlanta even more.

Pick: Braves 1st 5 Innings -130*

DFS Value Play: Jorge Soler ($4,400)

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins – 7:40 p.m. ET

From a game with big implications to one with basically none. The Tigers were ATS darlings this season, covering 58% of the time overall (second-best in MLB) and notching a league-best 79 covers as an underdog. Tonight, they’re catching the run-and-a-half once again against a Twins team with nothing to play for.

Despite three consecutive straight-up losses, Detroit has covered as a dog in the last two games and seven of the last nine regardless of favorite/underdog status. This season, they’re 11-6 ATS against the Twins, who have failed to cover in three straight.

On the mound, it’s a pretty even matchup with Casey Mize and Michael Pineda, and the bullpens have almost identical ERAs. As such, we’re willing to bet that the Tigers at least keep it close, if not win outright.

Pick: Tigers +1.5 (-130)*

DFS Value Play: Jeimer Candelario ($4,500)

Leicester City @ Legia Warsaw – Thursday, 12:45 p.m. ET

This is a borderline must-win for Leicester City — lest they risk falling too far behind in this Europa League group — after they drew Napoli in Matchday 1, and Legia Warsaw notched a win. Manager Brendan Rodgers knows this, so while some of his tactics have been more conservative of late, we believe he and his team let loose here against an inferior side.

Part of that conservatism has involved the benching of Jamie Vardy, who sat out for 88 minutes of the first UEL match despite a Premier League-leading five goals thus far. It’s no guarantee, but the 34-year-old seems primed to start this crucial contest.

And yes, Legia got the win over Spartak Moscow, but they’re actually performing poorly in the very weak Ekstraklasa. Look for the Foxes to get a win and stay afloat in the group.

Pick: Leicester -145*