Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces – 10:00 p.m. ET

After a dramatic overtime victory over powerhouse Seattle, Phoenix finds itself in the semifinals against Las Vegas, the WNBA playoffs’ No. 2 seed. Besides the obvious momentum, the Mercury have another big edge headed into Game 1.

It’s Diana Taurasi. From the first game after the Olympic break (August 15) to the game where Taurasi went down with an ankle injury (September 6), Phoenix was arguably the best team in the league, posting an 18.3 net rating… better than the 15.3 achieved by the Sun — currently the playoffs’ No. 1 seed — over that stretch.

This season, the Mercury are 1-2 SU, but 2-0-1 ATS against the Aces… and Taurasi didn’t play in a single one of those games. Last season (with Taurasi), Phoenix won and covered both of its games against Vegas.

Pick: Mercury +7 (-115)*

DFS Value Play: Diana Taurasi ($8,700)