Go Fish

San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins – 7:10 p.m. ET

What’s that we see? Is that… a run line underdog getting line movement? It sure is. Besides one of our favorite systems coming online here, there’s a lot to like about the Marlins as home dogs tonight.

For one, San Diego starter Blake Snell has been miserable on the road this season, posting a 5-9 record to go with a hideous 9.08 ERA and 2.18 WHIP. The peripheral stats are possibly even worse at 7.9 BB/9 and 2.0 HR/9. Starling Marte, on a seven-game hitting streak with a 1.127 OPS over that period, could eat Snell up.

Miami is going with a bullpen game Thursday, opening with Anthony Bender and likely using Jordan Holloway for the bulk of the innings. Regardless, you’re getting great value here.

Pick: Marlins +1.5 (-130)*

DFS Value Play: Adam Duvall ($4,400)