Brooklyn Nets @ Milwaukee Bucks – 7:30 p.m. ET
The Nets won the first two by a combined 47 points, and the betting public is heavily backing them in Game 3. And yet the Bucks are 3.5-point favorites, and the line hasn’t moved from the opener. The books — and maybe even the sharp bettors — still believe in Milwaukee.
The Deer aren’t a great ATS team but split strong as home favorites, covering 52.8% of the time, including two May matchups with the visiting Nets as 2.5 and three-point dogs. Plus, James Harden (hamstring) didn’t play in those two games — and he won’t play tonight.
History could help, too: Last time the Giannis-led Bucks returned home in an 0-2 hole (2018 against Boston), they won Game 3 by 24. Fiserv Forum will be rocking, and Milwaukee’s shooting has to pick up at some point.
Pick: Bucks -3.5 (-112)*
DFS Value Play: Bryn Forbes ($4100)